Friday,
11 April 2008
Dear Fellow Member,
Dons Trust
Special General Meeting – 7:00 pm on Monday 21 April 2008
Last week, we issued a notice
of a Special General meeting at 7.00 pm on Monday 21 April, to consider
the following resolution.
“That
the Dons Trust Board should be empowered to authorise AFC Wimbledon
Ltd to issue a Letter of Intent to, and subsequently enter into a contract
with, the successful bidder in the tendering process for the extension
of the West Stand in accordance with the proposals set out in the paper
to be sent out no later than 12 April.”
This document consists of the
paper referred to in that resolution.
At the meeting on 21 April
we will be discussing and voting on whether to go ahead with this major
project and on whether we should take on substantial extra borrowing
to do so. These are significant matters and I urge you to come
and hear the debate if you possibly can. If you can’t come,
please make sure you cast your proxy vote on this important matter.
Best wishes,
David Cox
Chair of the Dons Trust Board
THE MAIN STAND EXTENSION – Summary of situation
Introduction
This paper sets out the current
position regarding the main stand extension and the key issues we face
when voting on whether to support the Dons Trust Board’s recommendation
to proceed with the project.
Summary
The following sections set
out the background to the project, the reasons for these conclusions
and the options we face.
What are we proposing to
do?
The project comprises three
main parts:
What is the current status
of the project?
Following a tender to three
companies, we have selected Pryer Construction (UK) Ltd (‘Pryer’)
to carry out the project. The next stage of the process is for
AFC Wimbledon Limited to issue a Letter of Intent (‘LoI’) to Pryer.
A LoI is a legal document that
will commit the club to paying for any work undertaken by Pryer.
Eventually it will be replaced by a contract, but this is a way of Pryer
being able to place orders for materials etc, which will take some time
to produce, while being confident that their costs will be paid.
This is normal practice in this sort of project.
At a meeting on Wednesday 2
April, the DT board was unanimous in its support of the project.
However, given the significant cost and the need for additional borrowings,
the board decided that DT members should be asked to vote to empower
AFC Wimbledon to enter into a LoI and, subsequently, a contract.
This document is designed to
brief members and to reflect some of the issues that were debated at
the DTB meeting.
Why do we have to implement
the planning permissions now?
When the stadium was bought
in 2003, it already had planning permissions that allowed expansion
of the stadium to a capacity of about 6,500. These planning permissions
were due to expire early in 2006.
In late 2005 we applied for
renewal of the permissions on the basis that nothing had changed since
the first permission was granted (if nothing has changed, there are
no grounds to refuse the application). However, the Royal Borough
of Kingston (‘RBK’) considered that there had been material
changes in the planning environment (planning law, planning guidance,
etc). They also said that the change to AFC Wimbledon from Kingstonian
was material from a planning point of view.
The risk we faced was that
permission to renew might be refused and then we would need to appeal.
There are three kinds of appeal – cheap (written representations),
expensive (informal hearings) and prohibitively expensive (a full public
enquiry) - and it wouldn’t have been our decision which approach was
taken. Any appeal would also have taken us past the deadline, so that
if we lost it would have been too late to implement – the permission
would have expired.
We could have argued with RBK
but, in the light of the above facts, we decided that the risk was too
great and we withdrew the initial renewal application. We then worked
with RBK planners on a revised renewal application, which involved quite
a lot of extra work, largely with planning and transport consultants.
This, plus advice from other consultants, cost us about £20,000 and
a substantial amount of time by club officials - but we were successful
and the permissions, amended in a number of ways, were renewed for a
three year period to March 2009.
The time for applying for a
further renewal is now close. However, every time we apply there
is a risk that the application will fail or the terms of the renewal
may become so onerous that we can’t or won’t comply with them.
In summary, the problems we face are:
We can’t be sure of a renewal
on terms that are acceptable to us and, if we lose the permissions,
we will probably never be able to play league football at Kingsmeadow.
Therefore, the football club board decided, supported by the DT board,
that we should implement them.
What are the consequences
of implementing the permissions?
‘Implementing’ a planning
permission doesn’t have the same meaning that most people would assume
in everyday life. We have been advised that extending the main
stand would be regarded as an implementation of the permissions and
this would make them secure – we would not need to renew them again.
There is then a new risk, which is that the council might issue a Completion
Notice, demanding that we complete all the work, demolish the work already
undertaken or make good the site – this is possible, but it is very
rare and we consider it to be an acceptable risk.
There is one other major issue
re implementing the permissions, which is that doing so will trigger
the legal conditions (known as Section 106 conditions) that are attached
to them. Exactly how we comply with some of them is still under
discussion with RBK but the expensive one is that we are committed to
paying for the implementation and operation of a Controlled Parking
Zone (‘CPZ’).
Unlike most of the other S106
conditions, the CPZ does not need to be in place before the works starts
- a survey of residents is required first. We have written to
RBK asking them to start this survey early, so as to clarify the issues
and likely costs, but the costs will still be unknown when we start
although, obviously, we do have some estimates – see the next section
of this paper.
What will it cost?
The quote from Pryer is the lowest of three we received. This includes items 1. and 2. on page 2 of this paper, but not item 3 (the CPZ). The costs are as follows:
| Extension of stand, including demolition, moving water tank, extending the roof, etc | £401,500 | |
| Contingency for unexpected items, overruns etc | 50,000 | |
| Cost of essential work to meet planning requirements | 451,500 | |
| These amounts exclude regulatory fees (e.g. building regulations), consultants, fixtures and fittings, which we estimate to be | 50,000 | |
| Our best guess of cost of CPZ (see note below) | 125,000 | |
| Potential total cost of the essential work project | 626,500 | |
| Possible extra work | ||
| Ancillary works re office and changing rooms | 135,000 | |
| Toilet refurbishment | 24,500 | 159,500 |
| £786,000 |
To be clear, the DT board is
seeking empowerment for all the work to be undertaken, subject to affordable
finance being available and clarification of some issues.
Note: The cost of the
CPZ is uncertain but our consultants’ estimates range between £100,000
and £200,000. They have speculated that we ought to be able to
get the costs down to £100,000 but this is uncertain until the residents’
survey has been carried out so we’ve assumed an amount in the middle
of the range.
Where is the money coming
from?
The possible sources of finance
are as follows:
Cash currently held by Dons Trust £100,000
Last tranche of Barclays loan (note 1) 250,000
Additional facility from Barclays (note 2) 250,000
Possible grant from FSIF (note 3) 130,000
Early renewal of FYSTs (note 4) 80,000
Additional DT Bond issue (note 5) 250,000
Total possible funds
available
Note 1 - Barclays bank
We already have a facility
of £600,000 at bank rate + 2.5%. By the end of April we are likely
to have drawn down £350,000 and the balance of £250,000 is available
for the stand extension
Note 2 - Barclays bank,
additional facility
Barclays bank has said it is
willing to provide an additional loan of £250,000 and to increase the
duration of the original loan and this extra facility to 15 years.
The interest rate will be the same as for the existing loan, i.e. base
rate plus 2.5%
Note 3 - Grant from FSIF
We have had a number of discussions
with the grants team at FSIF. There are some potential threats
to our grant, as follows:
Overall, we are optimistic,
but not certain, that our application will be successful.
Note 4 - Early renewal of
FYSTs
Most five year season tickets
are at the end of their third year. The value of FYSTs bought
to date is approximately £200,000, of which £180,000 were bought in
year one and have therefore been used for three years.
We propose to offer an early
renewal of FYSTs (i.e. inviting fans to make the remaining two years
back up to five years). Assuming a high (but not total) acceptance of
the offer, it seems reasonable that we could raise as much as £80,000
(compared to a theoretical amount we might raise of £180,000 x 3/5
= £108,000). This is clearly uncertain but, with an additional
general push on FYSTs, including an offer that increases in main stand
prices won’t apply if you buy now, £80,000 appears to be an achievable
target.
Note 5 - DT Bond
At our request, the Finance
Working Group reviewed the various possible sources of finance for the
club and they concluded that a new Bond was the most likely to be effective.
Indeed, they believe that, with appropriate presentation, it might raise
as much as £250,000.
This is ambitious, but we believe
that we can raise at least £150,000 and that £250,000 may be within
our range.
The availability of funds can
be summarised (incorporating our judgements of likeliness of raising
the money) as follows:
| Likely | Definite/
very confident | |
| Funds held by DT | 100,000 | |
| Last tranche of existing Barclays loan facility | 250,000 | |
| Additional loan facility from Barclays | 250,000 | |
| Grant from FSIF | 130,000 | |
| Early renewal of FYSTs | 80,000 | |
| Additional DT Bond issue | 150,000 | 100,000 |
| Total | £280,000 | £780,000 |
Clearly these judgements are
subject to challenge but we believe that they are realistic.
Additional running costs
arising from the project
The budget for next season
is well underway and we aim to take it to the next DT board meeting.
However, we already know that we are unlikely to get any major new sources
of income except the increase in entrance costs (and associated increase
in season tickets) which we will discuss at that date.
The interest costs of the total
funds we need will depend on where the money comes from. The appendix
to this paper shows the repayment schedule that is most favourable to
the club (i.e. is the easiest to achieve) and the likely interest cost
in the first year is about £73,000 (compared to a forecast of £30,000
in the current year).
There is also a cost to running
the CPZ. We do not know what this will be but we are advised that
it could be as much as £20,000 per annum
In short, the total additional
running costs of going for the whole project (i.e. items 1, 2 and 3
on page 2) are likely to be about £63,000 in the early years, although
it will be about £10,000 less in year one, as we don’t expect to
have to pay for an entire year of the CPZ.
We hope to recoup about £40,000
from increased matchday and season ticket prices but the overall effect
will be to reduce the wages budget unless we can find a way of earning
lots more profits from the club’s activities. While we are giving
this our attention, there is a limit to what we can achieve in this
area
Repaying the capital (£000s)
The appendix shows the detailed
analysis of the capital repayments if we are able to get access to all
the sources of money listed earlier in this paper. The calculations
were based on minimising the annual capital repayments, since these
are dependent on fundraising.
The calculations show that,
in general, so long as we can maintain fundraising at about £100,000
per annum, we can afford the repayments. At present, we raise
between £60,000 and £65,000 per annum from the Dons Draw and Golden
Goals and, so long as these stay at about this level, the remaining
amount is challenging but not impossible. But we will need to
sustain it for years, not just do it for one year.
There are several different
combinations of borrowings that we might choose from. Each of
them has a specific advantage, but with an associated disadvantage –
for example if we sell more DT Bonds, this will reduce the interest
we pay but, as a general rule, the Bonds need repaying sooner, with
increased pressure on fundraising. If we go ahead, the board will
select the sources of funds which, in their view, best meet our needs
and ability to pay.
What do DT members need
to decide?
Briefly, the decision you face
as members is whether or not, in the light of the facts presented to
you in this document, you are you happy to empower the DT board to authorise
the club to go ahead with this project.
The DT board has recommended
that you vote in favour of the resolution set out on page 2 of this
document.
Erik Samuelson, on behalf of the Dons Trust board
10 April 2008
Appendix
– capital repayment schedule and effect on profit
This section shows the repayment
schedule which gives the minimum annual capital repayment. It
is based on a capital repayment schedule over 15 years (the period of
the Barclays loan).
Key assumptions in these calculations
are:
Scenario - Funding that
gives the minimum annual amounts of capital repayment
| Source | Funds |
| Cash currently held by DT | 100,000 |
| Last tranche of Barclays loan (over 15 years) | 250,000 |
| Additional loan from Barclays (15 year loan) | 250,000 |
| Grant from FSIF | 130,000 |
| Early renewal of FYSTs | 80,000 |
| Additional DT Bond issue | - |
| Total | 810,000 |
Note that with this additional
borrowing our total debt to Barclays will be £850,000 since we currently
owe them £350,000. The repayment schedule is therefore based
on repaying the full £850,000 over 15 years.
| Year to | Barclays capital element | Original Bonds repaid | FYST money to be repaid to club | Total capital to be paid in year | FYSTs sold in year | Needed from fundraising |
| 30/06/09 | 31 | 14 | 38 | 83 | 83 | |
| 30/06/10 | 34 | 27 | 38 | 99 | 99 | |
| 30/06/11 | 36 | 27 | 38 | 101 | (100) | 1 |
| 30/06/12 | 39 | 29 | 38 | 106 | 106 | |
| 30/06/13 | 42 | 56 | 38 | 136 | 136 | |
| 30/06/14 | 46 | 55 | 38 | 139 | (80) | 59 |
| 30/06/15 | 50 | 46 | 38 | 134 | 134 | |
| 30/06/16 | 54 | 25 | 38 | 117 | (100) | 17 |
| 30/06/17 | 58 | 10 | 38 | 106 | 106 | |
| 30/06/18 | 63 | 17 | 38 | 118 | 118 | |
| 30/06/19 | 68 | 4 | 38 | 110 | (80) | 30 |
| 30/06/20 | 73 | - | 38 | 111 | 111 | |
| 30/06/21 | 79 | - | 38 | 117 | (100) | 17 |
| 30/06/22 | 85 | - | 38 | 124 | 123 | |
| 30/06/23 | 92 | - | 38 | 130 | 130 | |
| TOTAL | 850 |
This repayment schedule looks
manageable. In practice, we would almost certainly use some
of the money from FYSTs to even out the amounts needed each year, rather
than having ‘feast and famine’ years when we would sometimes scarcely
need to raise any funds and other years when we would be stretched to
achieve our targets.
The total costs from this level
of borrowing in the first year would be, at current rates:
Barclays loan interest £66,000
DT Bond interest 7,000
Estimated cost of operating CPZ for 6 months 10,000
Total cost 83,000
Current year interest cost per forecast 30,000
Additional cost in year one £53,000